Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Pietro Orlando Fellin vs Miguel Tobon
Team pages: Pietro Orlando Fellin · Miguel Tobon
Prediction summary
Winner
Pietro Orlando Fellin
Miguel Tobon
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Pietro Orlando Fellin
7-3 (W-L)
Miguel Tobon
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pietro Orlando Fellin 1589 · Miguel Tobon 1452
| Pietro Orlando Fellin | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pietro Orlando Fellin (rating 1589 vs 1452).
- Pietro Orlando Fellin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pietro Orlando Fellin | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 89% (9) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.8 | 12.6-14.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 57.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pietro Orlando Fellin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Luca Potenza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Johannes Ingildsen Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Matyas Cerny M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Veljko Krstic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Radovan Michalik M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/06 | Nico Hipfl M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Abel Forger M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Tomas Lanik M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
Miguel Tobon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pietro Orlando Fellin vs Miguel Tobon?
Our model gives 53% to Pietro Orlando Fellin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.