Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Lev Seidman
Team pages: Ivan Marrero Curbelo · Lev Seidman
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Lev Seidman
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
6-4 (W-L)
Lev Seidman
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1574 · Lev Seidman 1456
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Lev Seidman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivan Marrero Curbelo (rating 1574 vs 1456).
- Ivan Marrero Curbelo is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Lev Seidman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.4 | 7.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 57% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 31.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Enrique Collar Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
Lev Seidman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Cooper Woestendick M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Eli Stephenson M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Ronit Karki M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Mees Rottgering M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jerald Carroll M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Henry Ren M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Thando Longwe-Smit M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/05 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Rayan Sajjid Koothrat M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/05 | Romain Faucon M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Lev Seidman?
Our model gives 79% to Ivan Marrero Curbelo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.