Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 17/08, 17:00
Prediction: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska
Team pages: Diana Shnaider · Maja Chwalinska
Prediction summary
Winner
Diana Shnaider
Maja Chwalinska
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Diana Shnaider
7-3 (W-L)
Maja Chwalinska
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Diana Shnaider
1–1
Maja Chwalinska
(2 last)
- 04 Jun0-2 10-13L
- 30 Apr2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diana Shnaider 1568 · Maja Chwalinska 1548
| Diana Shnaider | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Diana Shnaider | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.5 | 11.1-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 61% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Diana Shnaider 1 – 1 Maja Chwalinska (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diana Shnaider 1–1 Maja Chwalinska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 French Open Women | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/04/22 ITF W60 Istanbul | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diana Shnaider
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Eva Lys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Diane Parry French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Maria Sakkari French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 28/05 | Elise Mertens French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/05 | Qinwen Zheng French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska?
Our model gives 63% to Diana Shnaider, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.