Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Li
Team pages: Shuai Zhang · Ann Li
Prediction summary
Winner
Shuai Zhang
Ann Li
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Shuai Zhang
4-6 (W-L)
Ann Li
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Shuai Zhang
0–3
Ann Li
(3 last)
- 26 May0-2 6-12L
- 05 May1-2 12-13L
- 09 Feb0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shuai Zhang 1490 · Ann Li 1485
| Shuai Zhang | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Shuai Zhang 0–3 Ann Li (3).
Statistics
| Shuai Zhang | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10 | 11.3-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Shuai Zhang 0 – 3 Ann Li (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shuai Zhang 0–3 Ann Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 French Open Women | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05/26 WTA Rome | 1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/02/21 Australian Open Women | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shuai Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Milena Steinkamp WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ann Li
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Kayla Cross WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Magdalena Frech WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shuai Zhang vs Ann Li?
Our model gives 58% to Ann Li, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.