Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 16/08, 16:00
Prediction: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova
Team pages: Sloane Stephens · Anastasia Potapova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sloane Stephens
Anastasia Potapova
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sloane Stephens
5-5 (W-L)
Anastasia Potapova
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sloane Stephens
0–1
Anastasia Potapova
(1 last)
- 18 Jan0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sloane Stephens 1526 · Anastasia Potapova 1511
| Sloane Stephens | Anastasia Potapova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sloane Stephens 0–1 Anastasia Potapova (1).
- Note: Anastasia Potapova makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Sloane Stephens | Anastasia Potapova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.1 | 11.4-11 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Sloane Stephens 0 – 1 Anastasia Potapova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sloane Stephens 0–1 Anastasia Potapova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/23 Australian Open Women | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sloane Stephens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sinja Kraus WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Solana Sierra WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Anastasia Potapova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Venus Williams WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Coco Gauff French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/05 | Katie Boulter French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Maya Joint French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova?
Our model gives 56% to Anastasia Potapova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.