Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 16/08, 16:00
Prediction: Coco Gauff vs Ludmilla Samsonova
Team pages: Coco Gauff · Ludmilla Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Coco Gauff
Ludmilla Samsonova
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Coco Gauff
7-3 (W-L)
Ludmilla Samsonova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Coco Gauff
2–0
Ludmilla Samsonova
(2 last)
- 16 Apr2-0 13-6W
- 05 Aug2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coco Gauff 1582 · Ludmilla Samsonova 1560
| Coco Gauff | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Coco Gauff 2–0 Ludmilla Samsonova (2).
- Note: Coco Gauff makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Ludmilla Samsonova makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Coco Gauff | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.8 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-10.2 | 14.5-12.4 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 7.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Coco Gauff 2 – 0 Ludmilla Samsonova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coco Gauff 2–0 Ludmilla Samsonova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 WTA Stuttgart | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/08/23 WTA Washington | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coco Gauff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 09/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Kayla Day WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Solana Sierra Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Tamara Korpatsch Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ludmilla Samsonova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 09/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/07 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Xinyu Wang WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Madison Keys WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Diana Shnaider Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coco Gauff vs Ludmilla Samsonova?
Our model gives 64% to Coco Gauff, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.