Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 16/08, 16:00
Prediction: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina
Team pages: Tereza Valentova · Elina Svitolina
Prediction summary
Winner
Tereza Valentova
Elina Svitolina
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tereza Valentova
4-6 (W-L)
Elina Svitolina
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tereza Valentova 1533 · Elina Svitolina 1554
| Tereza Valentova | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elina Svitolina makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Tereza Valentova | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.6 | 11.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tereza Valentova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Maya Joint WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Priscilla Hon WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Karolina Pliskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Elina Svitolina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina?
Our model gives 63% to Elina Svitolina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.