Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Marie Bouzkova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Team pages: Marie Bouzkova · Lucrezia Stefanini
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Bouzkova
Lucrezia Stefanini
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Bouzkova
7-3 (W-L)
Lucrezia Stefanini
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marie Bouzkova
2–0
Lucrezia Stefanini
(2 last)
- 23 Jul2-0 12-8W
- 12 Sept2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Bouzkova 1516 · Lucrezia Stefanini 1544
| Marie Bouzkova | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marie Bouzkova 2–0 Lucrezia Stefanini (2).
- Note: Marie Bouzkova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Marie Bouzkova | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11.2 | 10.3-8 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 53.3% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 65.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Marie Bouzkova 2 – 0 Lucrezia Stefanini (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marie Bouzkova 2–0 Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/25 WTA Prague | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/09/24 WTA Guadalajara | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Bouzkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 02/07 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Talia Gibson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Sofia Kenin WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Anna Rogers WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Bouzkova vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Our model gives 60% to Marie Bouzkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.