Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Xiyu Wang
Team pages: Leylah Annie Fernandez · Xiyu Wang
Prediction summary
Winner
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Xiyu Wang
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Leylah Annie Fernandez
4-6 (W-L)
Xiyu Wang
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leylah Annie Fernandez
2–0
Xiyu Wang
(2 last)
- 28 Oct2-0 12-5W
- 29 May2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1516 · Xiyu Wang 1517
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Xiyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Xiyu Wang is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Leylah Annie Fernandez 2–0 Xiyu Wang (2).
- Note: Leylah Annie Fernandez makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Xiyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.7 | 12.1-7.8 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 70.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Leylah Annie Fernandez 2 – 0 Xiyu Wang (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leylah Annie Fernandez 2–0 Xiyu Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/25 WTA Hong Kong | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/05/24 French Open Women | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leylah Annie Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Magda Linette WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Janice Tjen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Xiyu Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Caty McNally WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Hanyu Guo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Xinyu Gao WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Xiyu Wang?
Our model gives 56% to Leylah Annie Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.