Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Anna Blinkova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Team pages: Anna Blinkova · Ekaterina Alexandrova
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Blinkova
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Blinkova
5-5 (W-L)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anna Blinkova
0–1
Ekaterina Alexandrova
(1 last)
- 11 Jun0-2 5-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Blinkova 1529 · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1551
| Anna Blinkova | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Anna Blinkova 0–1 Ekaterina Alexandrova (1).
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Anna Blinkova | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.2 | 12.9-11 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Anna Blinkova 0 – 1 Ekaterina Alexandrova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anna Blinkova 0–1 Ekaterina Alexandrova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/25 WTA Hertogenbosch | 0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Blinkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Eva Lys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Dominika Salkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Heather Watson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Ekaterina Alexandrova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 06/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Lanlana Tararudee Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Panna Udvardy Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Ann Li WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Blinkova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Our model gives 66% to Ekaterina Alexandrova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.