Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Peyton Stearns vs Clara Tauson
Team pages: Peyton Stearns · Clara Tauson
Prediction summary
Winner
Peyton Stearns
Clara Tauson
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Peyton Stearns
4-6 (W-L)
Clara Tauson
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Peyton Stearns
1–1
Clara Tauson
(2 last)
- 17 Feb0-2 6-12L
- 31 Aug2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peyton Stearns 1501 · Clara Tauson 1507
| Peyton Stearns | Clara Tauson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Clara Tauson makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Peyton Stearns | Clara Tauson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.1 | 11.9-11 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Peyton Stearns 1 – 1 Clara Tauson (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peyton Stearns 1–1 Clara Tauson
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 WTA Dubai | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/08/23 US Open Women | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Emily Appleton WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Belinda Bencic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Daria Snigur French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Clara Tauson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Miriana Tona WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Diana Shnaider WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peyton Stearns vs Clara Tauson?
Our model gives 52% to Clara Tauson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.