Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Sorana Cirstea vs Nikola Bartunkova
Team pages: Sorana Cirstea · Nikola Bartunkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sorana Cirstea
Nikola Bartunkova
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sorana Cirstea
7-3 (W-L)
Nikola Bartunkova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sorana Cirstea 1524 · Nikola Bartunkova 1530
| Sorana Cirstea | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Nikola Bartunkova dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 45.9% break avg.
- Note: Nikola Bartunkova makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Sorana Cirstea | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9 | 13.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 67% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorana Cirstea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Sara Bejlek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Solana Sierra French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/05 | Eva Lys French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Nikola Bartunkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Alina Charaeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Yue Yuan WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Peyton Stearns Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorana Cirstea vs Nikola Bartunkova?
Our model gives 54% to Sorana Cirstea, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.