Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Daria Snigur vs Madison Keys
Team pages: Daria Snigur · Madison Keys
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Snigur
Madison Keys
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Snigur
7-3 (W-L)
Madison Keys
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Snigur 1540 · Madison Keys 1578
| Daria Snigur | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 26% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daria Snigur | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.1 | 12.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 76.5% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Snigur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Ella Seidel WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Elina Svitolina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Madison Keys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Katie Swan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Snigur vs Madison Keys?
Our model gives 66% to Madison Keys, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.