Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Barbora Krejcikova vs Sara Bejlek
Team pages: Barbora Krejcikova · Sara Bejlek
Prediction summary
Winner
Barbora Krejcikova
Sara Bejlek
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Barbora Krejcikova
9-1 (W-L)
Sara Bejlek
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Barbora Krejcikova
1–0
Sara Bejlek
(1 last)
- 16 Jan2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barbora Krejcikova 1584 · Sara Bejlek 1533
| Barbora Krejcikova | Sara Bejlek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbora Krejcikova (rating 1584 vs 1533).
- Head-to-head: Barbora Krejcikova 1–0 Sara Bejlek (1).
- Note: Barbora Krejcikova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Barbora Krejcikova | Sara Bejlek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.5 | 10.4-8.9 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Barbora Krejcikova 1 – 0 Sara Bejlek (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barbora Krejcikova 1–0 Sara Bejlek
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/23 Australian Open Women | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barbora Krejcikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Carole Monnet WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Viktoriya Tomova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Sara Bejlek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barbora Krejcikova vs Sara Bejlek?
Our model gives 59% to Barbora Krejcikova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.