Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: Linda Noskova vs Katie Boulter

Team pages: Linda Noskova · Katie Boulter

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Linda Noskova Katie Boulter
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Linda Noskova 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWWL
Katie Boulter 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWLW
Head-to-head
Linda Noskova 0–1 Katie Boulter (1 last)
  • 13 Oct0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Linda Noskova 1618 · Katie Boulter 1482
Linda NoskovaKatie Boulter
Our model69%31%
Market76%24%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linda Noskova (rating 1618 vs 1482).
  • Linda Noskova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Linda Noskova 0–1 Katie Boulter (1).
  • Note: Linda Noskova makes many double faults (4.7/match).
  • Note: Katie Boulter makes many double faults (8.5/match).

Statistics

Linda NoskovaKatie Boulter
Win %80%40%
Win % · Grass 89% (9) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.81.1-1.5
Games (G-P)12.5-10.911.4-13.9
Aces5.92.3
Double faults4.78.5
1st serve %72.3%69.6%
Break %43.2%37.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 24

H2H · Linda Noskova 01 Katie Boulter (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Linda Noskova 01 Katie Boulter

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DateSetsGamesRes.
13/10/25
WTA Osaka
0-29-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Linda Noskova

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Caty McNally
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
11/07 Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-12 W
09/07 Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-8 W
08/07 Elise Mertens
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
06/07 Madison Keys
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-10 W
04/07 Sorana Cirstea
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 15-15 W
02/07 Maria Camila Osorio
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 16-11 W
30/06 Ella Seidel
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
23/06 Elena-Gabriela Ruse
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
21/06 Jessica Pegula
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-1 16-13 W

Katie Boulter

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/08 Katie Volynets
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 13-15 W
03/08 Kayla Cross
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
28/07 Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Washington · Hard
1-2 10-15 L
30/06 Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
21/06 Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
1-2 13-18 L
13/06 Donna Vekic
WTA Queens · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
12/06 Elena Rybakina
WTA Queens · Grass
2-1 15-15 W
12/06 Jaqueline Adina Cristian
WTA Queens · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
09/06 Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Queens · Grass
2-1 17-17 W
28/05 Anastasia Potapova
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 13-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Linda Noskova vs Katie Boulter?

Our model gives 73% to Linda Noskova, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.