Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Caty McNally vs Anna Kalinskaya
Team pages: Caty McNally · Anna Kalinskaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Caty McNally
Anna Kalinskaya
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Caty McNally
4-6 (W-L)
Anna Kalinskaya
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Caty McNally
1–1
Anna Kalinskaya
(2 last)
- 02 Apr0-2 5-12L
- 06 Feb2-1 14-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caty McNally 1550 · Anna Kalinskaya 1517
| Caty McNally | Anna Kalinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Caty McNally makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Anna Kalinskaya makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Caty McNally | Anna Kalinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.2 | 12.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 49% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Caty McNally 1 – 1 Anna Kalinskaya (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caty McNally 1–1 Anna Kalinskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/25 WTA Charleston | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/02/22 WTA St. Petersburg | 2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caty McNally
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Xiyu Wang WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Anna Kalinskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Janice Tjen WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Magdalena Frech Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caty McNally vs Anna Kalinskaya?
Our model gives 51% to Anna Kalinskaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.