Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska
Team pages: Cristina Bucsa · Maja Chwalinska
Prediction summary
Winner
Cristina Bucsa
Maja Chwalinska
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Cristina Bucsa
5-5 (W-L)
Maja Chwalinska
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Cristina Bucsa
2–0
Maja Chwalinska
(2 last)
- 21 Apr2-0 13-5W
- 22 Jan2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cristina Bucsa 1439 · Maja Chwalinska 1564
| Cristina Bucsa | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maja Chwalinska (rating 1439 vs 1564).
- Maja Chwalinska is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Cristina Bucsa 2–0 Maja Chwalinska (2).
Statistics
| Cristina Bucsa | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-13.1 | 11.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Cristina Bucsa 2 – 0 Maja Chwalinska (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cristina Bucsa 2–0 Maja Chwalinska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/25 WTA Madrid | 2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/01/19 ITF W60 Andrezieux-Boutheon | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cristina Bucsa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Susan Bandecchi French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Shuai Zhang WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 07/05 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 08/03 | Elise Mertens WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/03 | Magdalena Frech WTA Merida · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Maja Chwalinska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Diane Parry French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Maria Sakkari French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 28/05 | Elise Mertens French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/05 | Qinwen Zheng French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Suzan Lamens French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska?
Our model gives 59% to Maja Chwalinska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.