Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry
Team pages: Elise Mertens · Diane Parry
Prediction summary
Winner
Elise Mertens
Diane Parry
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Elise Mertens
4-6 (W-L)
Diane Parry
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elise Mertens
1–0
Diane Parry
(1 last)
- 29 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elise Mertens 1538 · Diane Parry 1509
| Elise Mertens | Diane Parry | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elise Mertens 1–0 Diane Parry (1).
- Note: Elise Mertens makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Diane Parry makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Elise Mertens | Diane Parry | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 63% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.9 | 11-10.6 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Elise Mertens 1 – 0 Diane Parry (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elise Mertens 1–0 Diane Parry
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/19 French Open Women | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elise Mertens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Anna Bondar WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Maria Timofeeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Laura Siegemund Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Diane Parry
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Kayla Day WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Francesca Jones Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Aoi Ito WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry?
Our model gives 66% to Elise Mertens, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.