Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 18:30
Prediction: Peyton Stearns vs Harriet Dart
Team pages: Peyton Stearns · Harriet Dart
Prediction summary
Winner
Peyton Stearns
Harriet Dart
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Peyton Stearns
4-6 (W-L)
Harriet Dart
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Peyton Stearns
0–1
Harriet Dart
(1 last)
- 25 Aug1-2 12-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peyton Stearns 1499 · Harriet Dart 1502
| Peyton Stearns | Harriet Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Peyton Stearns 0–1 Harriet Dart (1).
Statistics
| Peyton Stearns | Harriet Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10 | 10.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Peyton Stearns 0 – 1 Harriet Dart (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peyton Stearns 0–1 Harriet Dart
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/21 US Open Women | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Emily Appleton WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Belinda Bencic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Daria Snigur French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Sofia Kenin French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Harriet Dart
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/07 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Kayla Cross WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mina Hodzic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Jelena Ostapenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peyton Stearns vs Harriet Dart?
Our model gives 60% to Peyton Stearns, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.