Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 01:00

Prediction: Sloane Stephens vs Sinja Kraus

Team pages: Sloane Stephens · Sinja Kraus

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Sloane Stephens Sinja Kraus
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sloane Stephens 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWWWLLWL
Sinja Kraus 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sloane Stephens 1521 · Sinja Kraus 1555
Sloane StephensSinja Kraus
Our model45%55%
Market45%55%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Sloane StephensSinja Kraus
Win %60%80%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.7-0.6
Games (G-P)10.9-9.812.5-8.7
Aces4.61.6
Double faults2.62
1st serve %62%58.8%
Break %37.6%59%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sloane Stephens

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Belinda Bencic
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
04/08 Solana Sierra
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
01/08 Harriet Dart
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-1 15-8 W
31/07 Darja Vidmanova
WTA Memphis · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Yulia Starodubtsewa
WTA Memphis · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
23/07 Renata Zarazua
W100 Evansville
1-2 11-14 L
22/07 BoYoung Jeong
W100 Evansville
2-0 12-6 W
24/05 Sara Bejlek
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
21/05 Leyre Romero Gormaz
French Open Women · Clay
2-1 15-9 W
20/05 Lisa Pigato
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Sinja Kraus

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Claire Liu
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/08 Marina Bassols Ribera
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
22/07 Alina Charaeva
WTA Hamburg · Clay
1-2 17-19 L
21/07 Darja Semenistaja
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
19/07 Julia Grabher
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/07 Marina Bassols Ribera
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
17/07 Erika Andreeva
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
16/07 Eva Bennemann
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
14/07 Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Bastad · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sloane Stephens vs Sinja Kraus?

Our model gives 55% to Sinja Kraus, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.