Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic
Team pages: Lois Boisson · Belinda Bencic
Prediction summary
Winner
Lois Boisson
Belinda Bencic
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lois Boisson
5-5 (W-L)
Belinda Bencic
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lois Boisson 1454 · Belinda Bencic 1612
| Lois Boisson | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belinda Bencic (rating 1454 vs 1612).
- Belinda Bencic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Lois Boisson makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Belinda Bencic makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Lois Boisson | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12.1 | 13.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lois Boisson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Victoria Mboko WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Xinyu Wang WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Dominika Salkova WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 06/05 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Belinda Bencic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/05 | Peyton Stearns French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Caty McNally French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic?
Our model gives 74% to Belinda Bencic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.