Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 18:30
Prediction: Emiliana Arango vs Venus Williams
Team pages: Emiliana Arango · Venus Williams
Prediction summary
Winner
Emiliana Arango
Venus Williams
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Emiliana Arango
4-6 (W-L)
Venus Williams
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emiliana Arango 1498 · Venus Williams 1373
| Emiliana Arango | Venus Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emiliana Arango (rating 1498 vs 1373).
- Emiliana Arango is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Venus Williams makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Emiliana Arango | Venus Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 0% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.4-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.3 | 9-14.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emiliana Arango
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Lea Nilsson WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Maya Joint WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/06 | Sofia Johnson WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Venus Williams
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/04 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Francesca Jones WTA Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/03 | Diane Parry WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/02 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/01 | Olga Danilovic Australian Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/01 | Tatjana Maria WTA Hobart · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Magda Linette WTA Auckland · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emiliana Arango vs Venus Williams?
Our model gives 66% to Emiliana Arango, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.