Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 02:30
Prediction: Sofia Kenin vs Eva Lys
Team pages: Sofia Kenin · Eva Lys
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Kenin
Eva Lys
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Kenin
3-7 (W-L)
Eva Lys
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Kenin 1449 · Eva Lys 1453
| Sofia Kenin | Eva Lys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sofia Kenin makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Sofia Kenin | Eva Lys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-12.7 | 9.6-12 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Kenin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Emma Navarro WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Petra Marcinko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/05 | Peyton Stearns French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Eva Lys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/08 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Diana Shnaider Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Elina Svitolina WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Sorana Cirstea French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Petra Marcinko French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/05 | Talia Gibson WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 08/05 | Naomi Osaka WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Kenin vs Eva Lys?
Our model gives 54% to Eva Lys, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.