Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Mary Stoiana vs Tereza Valentova
Team pages: Mary Stoiana · Tereza Valentova
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Stoiana
Tereza Valentova
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Stoiana
8-2 (W-L)
Tereza Valentova
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Stoiana 1522 · Tereza Valentova 1515
| Mary Stoiana | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Mary Stoiana | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.5 | 10.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 53% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Stoiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Peyton Stearns WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Julieta Pareja W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Anna Rogers W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Katrina Scott WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Tereza Valentova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Maya Joint WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Priscilla Hon WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Karolina Pliskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Stoiana vs Tereza Valentova?
Our model gives 58% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.