Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 19:20
Prediction: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkel
Team pages: Xinyu Wang · Hanne Vandewinkel
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinyu Wang
Hanne Vandewinkel
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Xinyu Wang
5-5 (W-L)
Hanne Vandewinkel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinyu Wang 1467 · Hanne Vandewinkel 1586
| Xinyu Wang | Hanne Vandewinkel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanne Vandewinkel (rating 1467 vs 1586).
- Hanne Vandewinkel is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Hanne Vandewinkel makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Xinyu Wang | Hanne Vandewinkel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.9 | 13.5-9.1 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 60.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinyu Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Julieta Pareja WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Madison Keys WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Tamara Korpatsch French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Hanne Vandewinkel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Akasha Urhobo WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Anastasia Zakharova W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Madison Sieg W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Madison Brengle W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkel?
Our model gives 61% to Hanne Vandewinkel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.