Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaeva
Team pages: Nikola Bartunkova · Alina Charaeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Bartunkova
Alina Charaeva
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Bartunkova
7-3 (W-L)
Alina Charaeva
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nikola Bartunkova
0–1
Alina Charaeva
(1 last)
- 21 Apr1-2 15-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Bartunkova 1517 · Alina Charaeva 1541
| Nikola Bartunkova | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Nikola Bartunkova dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 46.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Nikola Bartunkova 0–1 Alina Charaeva (1).
- Note: Nikola Bartunkova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Bartunkova | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.3 | 12.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
H2H · Nikola Bartunkova 0 – 1 Alina Charaeva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nikola Bartunkova 0–1 Alina Charaeva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 WTA Madrid | 1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Bartunkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Yue Yuan WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Peyton Stearns Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alina Charaeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Rebecca Marino WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 21/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Caroline Werner Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Elizabeth Mandlik Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaeva?
Our model gives 60% to Nikola Bartunkova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.