Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 18:30
Prediction: Lilli Tagger vs Talia Gibson
Team pages: Lilli Tagger · Talia Gibson
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilli Tagger
Talia Gibson
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lilli Tagger
7-3 (W-L)
Talia Gibson
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilli Tagger 1626 · Talia Gibson 1468
| Lilli Tagger | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lilli Tagger (rating 1626 vs 1468).
- Lilli Tagger is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Talia Gibson makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Lilli Tagger | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.4 | 10.7-12.8 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilli Tagger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Robin Montgomery WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Xinyu Gao WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Marianne Argyrokastriti WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Madison Sieg WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Talia Gibson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Francesca Jones WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 07/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilli Tagger vs Talia Gibson?
Our model gives 65% to Lilli Tagger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.