Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina
Team pages: Taylor Townsend · Elena Rybakina
Prediction summary
Winner
Taylor Townsend
Elena Rybakina
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Taylor Townsend
6-4 (W-L)
Elena Rybakina
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taylor Townsend
0–1
Elena Rybakina
(1 last)
- 24 Mar1-2 14-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taylor Townsend 1527 · Elena Rybakina 1559
| Taylor Townsend | Elena Rybakina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Taylor Townsend 0–1 Elena Rybakina (1).
- Note: Elena Rybakina makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Taylor Townsend | Elena Rybakina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.9 | 12.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 75% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Taylor Townsend 0 – 1 Elena Rybakina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taylor Townsend 0–1 Elena Rybakina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/24 WTA Miami | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taylor Townsend
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 08/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Martina Trevisan WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Coco Gauff French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Iva Jovic WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Elena Rybakina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 09/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/08 | Ann Li WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Caty McNally Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Lois Boisson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina?
Our model gives 64% to Elena Rybakina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.