Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Simona Waltert vs Jessica Pegula
Team pages: Simona Waltert · Jessica Pegula
Prediction summary
Winner
Simona Waltert
Jessica Pegula
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Simona Waltert
5-5 (W-L)
Jessica Pegula
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simona Waltert 1491 · Jessica Pegula 1555
| Simona Waltert | Jessica Pegula | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jessica Pegula (rating 1491 vs 1555).
- Note: Simona Waltert makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Simona Waltert | Jessica Pegula | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.4 | 12.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simona Waltert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Petra Marcinko WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Maria Camila Osorio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Jessica Pegula
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Magdalena Frech WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Magdalena Frech WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simona Waltert vs Jessica Pegula?
Our model gives 76% to Jessica Pegula, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.