Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari
Team pages: Kamilla Rakhimova · Maria Sakkari
Prediction summary
Winner
Kamilla Rakhimova
Maria Sakkari
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Kamilla Rakhimova
2-8 (W-L)
Maria Sakkari
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kamilla Rakhimova
0–3
Maria Sakkari
(3 last)
- 02 Jul1-2 15-13L
- 08 Aug1-2 11-15L
- 30 Sept0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kamilla Rakhimova 1488 · Maria Sakkari 1542
| Kamilla Rakhimova | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Sakkari (rating 1488 vs 1542).
- Maria Sakkari is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kamilla Rakhimova 0–3 Maria Sakkari (3).
- Note: Kamilla Rakhimova makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Kamilla Rakhimova | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.6 | 10.4-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 60.9% | 57.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Kamilla Rakhimova 0 – 3 Maria Sakkari (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamilla Rakhimova 0–3 Maria Sakkari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/26 Wimbledon Women | 1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 08/08/25 WTA Cincinnati | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/09/20 French Open Women | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamilla Rakhimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Venus Williams WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Heather Watson WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Anhelina Kalinina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Harriet Dart WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Harriet Dart WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Kamilla Rakhimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Clara Tauson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari?
Our model gives 62% to Maria Sakkari, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.