Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Emma Navarro vs Anhelina Kalinina
Team pages: Emma Navarro · Anhelina Kalinina
Prediction summary
Winner
Emma Navarro
Anhelina Kalinina
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Navarro
3-7 (W-L)
Anhelina Kalinina
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emma Navarro
1–0
Anhelina Kalinina
(1 last)
- 03 May2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emma Navarro 1542 · Anhelina Kalinina 1480
| Emma Navarro | Anhelina Kalinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Navarro (rating 1542 vs 1480).
- Head-to-head: Emma Navarro 1–0 Anhelina Kalinina (1).
- Note: Emma Navarro makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Anhelina Kalinina makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Emma Navarro | Anhelina Kalinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.6 | 10.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 60% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Emma Navarro 1 – 0 Anhelina Kalinina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emma Navarro 1–0 Anhelina Kalinina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/19 ITF W100 Charleston | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emma Navarro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Sofia Kenin WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Oksana Selekhmeteva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Paula Badosa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Iga Swiatek WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Eva Lys WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Anhelina Kalinina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Anna Bondar WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Diane Parry WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emma Navarro vs Anhelina Kalinina?
Our model gives 60% to Emma Navarro, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.