Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 13/08, 16:30
Prediction: Emiliana Arango vs Nadia Podoroska
Team pages: Emiliana Arango · Nadia Podoroska
Prediction summary
Winner
Emiliana Arango
Nadia Podoroska
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Emiliana Arango
4-6 (W-L)
Nadia Podoroska
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emiliana Arango
1–3
Nadia Podoroska
(4 last)
- 04 Feb0-2 5-12L
- 08 Feb0-2 7-13L
- 15 Jan0-2 4-12L
- 06 Nov2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emiliana Arango 1482 · Nadia Podoroska 1499
| Emiliana Arango | Nadia Podoroska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Emiliana Arango 1–3 Nadia Podoroska (4).
- Note: Nadia Podoroska makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Emiliana Arango | Nadia Podoroska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.3 | 11.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Emiliana Arango 1 – 3 Nadia Podoroska (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emiliana Arango 1–3 Nadia Podoroska
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/23 WTA Cali | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/02/20 2020 Fed Cup | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/01/20 ITF W25 Malibu | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/11/19 ITF W60 Colina | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emiliana Arango
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Lea Nilsson WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Maya Joint WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/06 | Sofia Johnson WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Alycia Parks WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Nadia Podoroska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Ella Seidel WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Sara Cakarevic W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Julia Stusek WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Ruien Zhang W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Carolina Troiano W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emiliana Arango vs Nadia Podoroska?
Our model gives 55% to Emiliana Arango, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.