Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 13/08, 16:30
Prediction: Xiyu Wang vs Polina Kudermetova
Team pages: Xiyu Wang · Polina Kudermetova
Prediction summary
Winner
Xiyu Wang
Polina Kudermetova
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Xiyu Wang
7-3 (W-L)
Polina Kudermetova
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Xiyu Wang
1–0
Polina Kudermetova
(1 last)
- 22 May2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xiyu Wang 1562 · Polina Kudermetova 1535
| Xiyu Wang | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Xiyu Wang 1–0 Polina Kudermetova (1).
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Xiyu Wang | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.7 | 12.6-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 7.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 65.9% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Xiyu Wang 1 – 0 Polina Kudermetova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiyu Wang 1–0 Polina Kudermetova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 French Open Women | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xiyu Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Caty McNally WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Hanyu Guo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Xinyu Gao WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Polina Kudermetova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Avery Alexander WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/07 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Liv Boulard WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xiyu Wang vs Polina Kudermetova?
Our model gives 57% to Xiyu Wang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

