Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Tatjana Maria vs Dayana Yastremska
Team pages: Tatjana Maria · Dayana Yastremska
Prediction summary
Winner
Tatjana Maria
Dayana Yastremska
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tatjana Maria
8-2 (W-L)
Dayana Yastremska
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tatjana Maria
2–0
Dayana Yastremska
(2 last)
- 17 Jun2-0 12-3W
- 02 Feb2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatjana Maria 1597 · Dayana Yastremska 1509
| Tatjana Maria | Dayana Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatjana Maria (rating 1597 vs 1509).
- Head-to-head: Tatjana Maria 2–0 Dayana Yastremska (2).
Statistics
| Tatjana Maria | Dayana Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 83% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-7 | 12.6-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 52% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Tatjana Maria 2 – 0 Dayana Yastremska (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tatjana Maria 2–0 Dayana Yastremska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 WTA Nottingham | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/02/23 WTA Hua Hin | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatjana Maria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Isabella Marton WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Talia Gibson WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Olivia Lincer WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Dayana Yastremska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Aoi Ito Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Sara Bejlek WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/05 | Jasmine Paolini French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/05 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/05 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 14/05 | Solana Sierra WTA Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatjana Maria vs Dayana Yastremska?
Our model gives 56% to Tatjana Maria, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.