Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00

Prediction: Ashlyn Krueger vs Lois Boisson

Team pages: Ashlyn Krueger · Lois Boisson

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Ashlyn Krueger Lois Boisson
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ashlyn Krueger 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWLL
Lois Boisson 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ashlyn Krueger 1602 · Lois Boisson 1420
Ashlyn KruegerLois Boisson
Our model74%26%
Market68%32%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashlyn Krueger (rating 1602 vs 1420).
  • Ashlyn Krueger is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Note: Ashlyn Krueger makes many double faults (5.5/match).
  • Note: Lois Boisson makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Ashlyn KruegerLois Boisson
Win %90%20%
Win % · Grass 89% (9) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.60.8-1.6
Games (G-P)13.5-9.59.3-12.8
Aces5.83.4
Double faults5.54.1
1st serve %67.9%64.8%
Break %60.7%39.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ashlyn Krueger

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Katie Boulter
WTA Washington · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
06/07 Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
04/07 Daria Snigur
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
02/07 Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-1 W
30/06 Donna Vekic
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 16-16 W
25/06 Polina Iatcenko
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-7 W
24/06 Mai Hontama
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-13 W
23/06 Gabriela Knutson
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 14-10 W
14/06 Celine Naef
WTA Ilkley · Grass
2-0 13-7 W
13/06 Darja Vidmanova
WTA Ilkley · Grass
2-1 15-14 W

Lois Boisson

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/08 Antonia Ruzic
WTA Toronto · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
01/08 Emiliana Arango
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
30/06 Elena Rybakina
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 13-13 L
10/06 Solana Sierra
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
1-2 14-17 L
26/05 Anna Kalinskaya
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/05 Victoria Mboko
WTA Strasbourg · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/05 Xinyu Wang
WTA Strasbourg · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
11/05 Dominika Salkova
WTA Parma · Clay
1-2 10-18 L
06/05 Katerina Siniakova
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
21/04 Peyton Stearns
WTA Madrid · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ashlyn Krueger vs Lois Boisson?

Our model gives 71% to Ashlyn Krueger, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.