Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00

Prediction: Antonia Ruzic vs Magdalena Frech

Team pages: Antonia Ruzic · Magdalena Frech

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Antonia Ruzic Magdalena Frech
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Antonia Ruzic 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLLWLLLL
Magdalena Frech 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antonia Ruzic 1475 · Magdalena Frech 1446
Antonia RuzicMagdalena Frech
Our model54%46%
Market43%57%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Antonia RuzicMagdalena Frech
Win %40%30%
Win % · Grass 43% (7) 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.50.8-1.5
Games (G-P)10.5-12.310.3-12.5
Aces1.43.5
Double faults33.4
1st serve %55.6%66%
Break %40%39.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antonia Ruzic

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Madison Keys
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
03/08 Lois Boisson
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
20/07 Dominika Salkova
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
01/07 Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 2-12 L
29/06 Darja Semenistaja
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 15-12 W
22/06 Petra Marcinko
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
1-2 18-18 L
16/06 Caty McNally
WTA Nottingham · Grass
0-2 3-12 L
14/06 Taylah Preston
WTA Nottingham · Grass
2-1 19-15 W
13/06 Kaja Juvan
WTA Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
09/06 Iva Jovic
WTA Queens · Grass
0-2 7-12 L

Magdalena Frech

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Jessica Pegula
WTA Toronto · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
03/08 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
30/07 Jessica Pegula
WTA Washington · Hard
1-2 9-15 L
28/07 Ann Li
WTA Washington · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
29/06 Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
22/06 Naomi Osaka
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
16/06 Eva Lys
WTA Berlin · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
15/06 Shuai Zhang
WTA Berlin · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
13/06 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-1 19-17 W
27/05 Jil Teichmann
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antonia Ruzic vs Magdalena Frech?

Our model gives 52% to Magdalena Frech, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.