Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Simona Waltert vs Petra Marcinko
Team pages: Simona Waltert · Petra Marcinko
Prediction summary
Winner
Simona Waltert
Petra Marcinko
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Simona Waltert
5-5 (W-L)
Petra Marcinko
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Simona Waltert
3–1
Petra Marcinko
(4 last)
- 20 Jun1-2 15-18L
- 14 May2-0 12-6W
- 09 Jan2-0 12-2W
- 19 Jul2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simona Waltert 1479 · Petra Marcinko 1515
| Simona Waltert | Petra Marcinko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Simona Waltert 3–1 Petra Marcinko (4).
- Note: Petra Marcinko makes many double faults (7.9/match).
Statistics
| Simona Waltert | Petra Marcinko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.3 | 12.6-13.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 7.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Simona Waltert 3 – 1 Petra Marcinko (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Simona Waltert 3–1 Petra Marcinko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 WTA Eastbourne | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/05/24 W75 Zagreb | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/01/24 Australian Open Women | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07/23 WTA Iasi | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simona Waltert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Maria Camila Osorio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Petra Marcinko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Clara Burel WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Sofia Kenin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 21/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Simona Waltert WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simona Waltert vs Petra Marcinko?
Our model gives 56% to Petra Marcinko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.