Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Caty McNally vs McCartney Kessler
Team pages: Caty McNally · McCartney Kessler
Prediction summary
Winner
Caty McNally
McCartney Kessler
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Caty McNally
4-6 (W-L)
McCartney Kessler
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Caty McNally
0–1
McCartney Kessler
(1 last)
- 10 Aug0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caty McNally 1528 · McCartney Kessler 1483
| Caty McNally | McCartney Kessler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caty McNally (rating 1528 vs 1483).
- Head-to-head: Caty McNally 0–1 McCartney Kessler (1).
- Note: Caty McNally makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Caty McNally | McCartney Kessler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.8 | 9.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Caty McNally 0 – 1 McCartney Kessler (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caty McNally 0–1 McCartney Kessler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/25 WTA Cincinnati | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caty McNally
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Xiyu Wang WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
McCartney Kessler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 03/08 | Cadence Brace WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Aryna Sabalenka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Oleksandra Oliynykova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Katie Volynets WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caty McNally vs McCartney Kessler?
Our model gives 57% to Caty McNally, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.