Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmez
Team pages: Daria Kasatkina · Zeynep Sonmez
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Kasatkina
Zeynep Sonmez
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Kasatkina
1-9 (W-L)
Zeynep Sonmez
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daria Kasatkina
1–0
Zeynep Sonmez
(1 last)
- 25 May2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Kasatkina 1481 · Zeynep Sonmez 1501
| Daria Kasatkina | Zeynep Sonmez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Daria Kasatkina 1–0 Zeynep Sonmez (1).
- Note: Daria Kasatkina makes many double faults (7.9/match).
Statistics
| Daria Kasatkina | Zeynep Sonmez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.6 | 11.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 7.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 56% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
H2H · Daria Kasatkina 1 – 0 Zeynep Sonmez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daria Kasatkina 1–0 Zeynep Sonmez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 French Open Women | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Kasatkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Xinyu Wang WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 28/07 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Alana Smith WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 25/07 | Mariam Bolkvadze WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Janice Tjen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Mimi Xu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Anna Blinkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Zeynep Sonmez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Rebecca Marino WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Cadence Brace WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Ann Li Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Harriet Dart WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/06 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmez?
Our model gives 51% to Daria Kasatkina, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.