Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Magda Linette
Team pages: Elena-Gabriela Ruse · Magda Linette
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Magda Linette
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
5-5 (W-L)
Magda Linette
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena-Gabriela Ruse 1541 · Magda Linette 1484
| Elena-Gabriela Ruse | Magda Linette | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena-Gabriela Ruse (rating 1541 vs 1484).
- Note: Elena-Gabriela Ruse makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Elena-Gabriela Ruse | Magda Linette | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 71% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.1 | 10.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 6 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Caty McNally Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Taylor Townsend WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Magda Linette
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Carol Zhao WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mirra Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Mia Pohankova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Magda Linette?
Our model gives 55% to Elena-Gabriela Ruse, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.