Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Katie Boulter vs Katie Volynets
Team pages: Katie Boulter · Katie Volynets
Prediction summary
Winner
Katie Boulter
Katie Volynets
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Katie Boulter
6-4 (W-L)
Katie Volynets
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katie Boulter
1–0
Katie Volynets
(1 last)
- 06 Feb2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katie Boulter 1481 · Katie Volynets 1577
| Katie Boulter | Katie Volynets | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katie Volynets (rating 1481 vs 1577).
- Katie Volynets is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Katie Boulter 1–0 Katie Volynets (1).
- Note: Katie Boulter makes many double faults (8.5/match).
Statistics
| Katie Boulter | Katie Volynets | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-13.8 | 11.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 8.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Katie Boulter 1 – 0 Katie Volynets (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katie Boulter 1–0 Katie Volynets
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 WTA Ostrava | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katie Boulter
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Kayla Cross WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Donna Vekic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Elena Rybakina WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 28/05 | Anastasia Potapova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Akasha Urhobo French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Katie Volynets
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 12/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Kylie Collins WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Elizara Yaneva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katie Boulter vs Katie Volynets?
Our model gives 58% to Katie Volynets, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.