Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Maya Joint vs Tamara Korpatsch
Team pages: Maya Joint · Tamara Korpatsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Maya Joint
Tamara Korpatsch
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maya Joint
7-3 (W-L)
Tamara Korpatsch
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maya Joint 1528 · Tamara Korpatsch 1488
| Maya Joint | Tamara Korpatsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maya Joint (rating 1528 vs 1488).
- Note: Maya Joint makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Maya Joint | Tamara Korpatsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.7 | 9.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maya Joint
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/08 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Ana Grubor WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 30/07 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Whitney Osuigwe WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Serena Williams Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Tamara Korpatsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Julia Stusek WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Linea Bajraliu WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Mia Pohankova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maya Joint vs Tamara Korpatsch?
Our model gives 63% to Maya Joint, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.