Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 13/08, 11:00
Prediction: Jan Kumstat vs Max Houkes
Team pages: Jan Kumstat · Max Houkes
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Kumstat
Max Houkes
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Kumstat
8-2 (W-L)
Max Houkes
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Kumstat 1624 · Max Houkes 1527
| Jan Kumstat | Max Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Kumstat (rating 1624 vs 1527).
- Jan Kumstat is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jan Kumstat | Max Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-9.5 | 12.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 81.7% | 72% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 33.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Tom Zeuch Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Alan Wazny Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Mathys Erhard M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Max Houkes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Stefan Popovic M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Kumstat vs Max Houkes?
Our model gives 60% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.