Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 15/08, 14:00
Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Jan Kumstat
Team pages: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida · Jan Kumstat
Prediction summary
Winner
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Jan Kumstat
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
7-3 (W-L)
Jan Kumstat
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1587 · Jan Kumstat 1625
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-9.4 | 14-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 9.3 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 80.3% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Florian Broska Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 31/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Tom Zeuch Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Alan Wazny Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Mathys Erhard M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Jan Kumstat?
Our model gives 58% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.