Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 15/08, 15:30
Prediction: Matej Dodig vs Marvin Moeller
Team pages: Matej Dodig · Marvin Moeller
Prediction summary
Winner
Matej Dodig
Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matej Dodig
9-1 (W-L)
Marvin Moeller
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matej Dodig
0–1
Marvin Moeller
(1 last)
- 08 Jul0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matej Dodig 1563 · Marvin Moeller 1604
| Matej Dodig | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marvin Moeller (rating 1563 vs 1604).
- Head-to-head: Matej Dodig 0–1 Marvin Moeller (1).
Statistics
| Matej Dodig | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.3 | 13.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 39% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Matej Dodig 0 – 1 Marvin Moeller (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matej Dodig 0–1 Marvin Moeller
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/23 ITF M15 Sofia | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matej Dodig
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Marvin Moeller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 10/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matej Dodig vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model gives 53% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.