Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 16/08, 13:00
Prediction: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller
Team pages: Jan Kumstat · Marvin Moeller
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Kumstat
Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Kumstat
8-2 (W-L)
Marvin Moeller
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jan Kumstat
2–0
Marvin Moeller
(2 last)
- 12 Jun2-0 13-10W
- 26 Sept2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Kumstat 1690 · Marvin Moeller 1600
| Jan Kumstat | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Kumstat (rating 1690 vs 1600).
- Head-to-head: Jan Kumstat 2–0 Marvin Moeller (2).
Statistics
| Jan Kumstat | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.4 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-9.8 | 13.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 81.2% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Jan Kumstat 2 – 0 Marvin Moeller (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan Kumstat 2–0 Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 M25 Ceska Lipa | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/09/25 ITF M25 Pardubice | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Tom Zeuch Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Alan Wazny Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Marvin Moeller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 10/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model gives 62% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.