Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 12/08, 11:00
Prediction: Matej Dodig vs Rudolf Molleker
Team pages: Matej Dodig · Rudolf Molleker
Prediction summary
Winner
Matej Dodig
Rudolf Molleker
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matej Dodig
8-2 (W-L)
Rudolf Molleker
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matej Dodig 1570 · Rudolf Molleker 1512
| Matej Dodig | Rudolf Molleker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1570 vs 1512).
- Rudolf Molleker dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 60% break avg.
- Note: Rudolf Molleker makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Matej Dodig | Rudolf Molleker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.1 | 12.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Rudolf Molleker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Tim Handel Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Jakub Vrba Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Dax Donders Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Stefan Seifert Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matej Dodig vs Rudolf Molleker?
Our model gives 63% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.