Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 12/08, 11:00
Prediction: Max Schoenhaus vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Team pages: Max Schoenhaus · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Schoenhaus
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Max Schoenhaus
6-4 (W-L)
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Schoenhaus 1477 · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1601
| Max Schoenhaus | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (rating 1477 vs 1601).
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Max Schoenhaus | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.2 | 13.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 29% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Schoenhaus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Learner Tien ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Mika Petkovic M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Florian Broska Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 31/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Dmitry Popko Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Schoenhaus vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida?
Our model gives 60% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.