Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 11/08, 18:00
Prediction: Mary Stoiana vs Veronika Erjavec
Team pages: Mary Stoiana · Veronika Erjavec
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Stoiana
Veronika Erjavec
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Stoiana
8-2 (W-L)
Veronika Erjavec
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Stoiana 1524 · Veronika Erjavec 1483
| Mary Stoiana | Veronika Erjavec | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mary Stoiana (rating 1524 vs 1483).
Statistics
| Mary Stoiana | Veronika Erjavec | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.8 | 11.2-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 60% |
| Break % | 56.5% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Stoiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Peyton Stearns WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Julieta Pareja W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Anna Rogers W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Katrina Scott WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Kayla Cross Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Veronika Erjavec
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Gina Feistel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Victoria Bosio WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Elena Rybakina French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Stoiana vs Veronika Erjavec?
Our model gives 56% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.