Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 11/08, 19:30
Prediction: Rebecca Sramkova vs Elsa Jacquemot
Team pages: Rebecca Sramkova · Elsa Jacquemot
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebecca Sramkova
Elsa Jacquemot
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rebecca Sramkova
7-3 (W-L)
Elsa Jacquemot
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rebecca Sramkova
1–2
Elsa Jacquemot
(3 last)
- 10 Sept2-1 15-14W
- 25 Jan0-2 10-14L
- 09 Dec0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebecca Sramkova 1524 · Elsa Jacquemot 1454
| Rebecca Sramkova | Elsa Jacquemot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebecca Sramkova (rating 1524 vs 1454).
- Head-to-head: Rebecca Sramkova 1–2 Elsa Jacquemot (3).
- Note: Elsa Jacquemot makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Rebecca Sramkova | Elsa Jacquemot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.6 | 8.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 61.4% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Rebecca Sramkova 1 – 2 Elsa Jacquemot (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rebecca Sramkova 1–2 Elsa Jacquemot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/24 WTA Monastir | 2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/01/24 W75 Porto | 0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/12/22 ITF W100 Dubai | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebecca Sramkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Janice Tjen WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Carolyn Ansari WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Teodora Kostovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Viktoria Hruncakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Akasha Urhobo WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Elsa Jacquemot
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Ilinca D Amariei WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Mimi Xu WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Sofia Kenin WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebecca Sramkova vs Elsa Jacquemot?
Our model gives 59% to Rebecca Sramkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.